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    Boosting EV Sales: Incentivizing Drivers to Trade in Old, Polluting Cars

    Electric Vehicle Scrappage Programs: A Two-for-One Solution to Reduce Emissions and Boost EV Adoption

    In the quest to tackle climate change and promote clean transportation, scrappage programs for gas-guzzling vehicles are gaining momentum in the United States. These programs offer a dual benefit of catalyzing the purchase of electric vehicles (EVs) while simultaneously eliminating some of the least fuel-efficient cars on the road. Policymakers in states like Colorado, Vermont, and California have recognized the potential of such programs and have implemented them as part of their efforts to combat emissions and accelerate the transition to EVs.

    The Vehicle Exchange Program in Colorado is one such initiative that provides a rebate of up to $6,000 to individuals who purchase a new EV while surrendering their old combustion-engine vehicle. Since its launch in late August, the program has seen 45 people trade in their clunkers for cleaner EVs. Carrie Atiyeh, the associate director of transportation fuels and technology at the Colorado Energy Office, describes the program as a “holistic approach to getting high-emission vehicles off the road.”

    These scrappage policies come at a crucial time, as high prices continue to hinder widespread EV adoption. Additionally, the number of registered vehicles in the United States has surged in recent years, reaching 282 million, making it imperative to address the issue of aging and inefficient vehicles that contribute significantly to emissions.

    While Americans’ love for buying new cars is evident, with almost 28 million households owning three or more vehicles, the average age of cars on the road has also increased. Currently, the average car on the road is 12.2 years old, reflecting a 9% increase over the past decade. This trend poses a challenge to the electrification of the entire fleet, especially considering that newer gas cars tend to be more reliable and less likely to be replaced.

    These scrappage programs aim to address these challenges directly. In Vermont, for instance, a clunker trade-in can fetch up to $5,000, which can be used to purchase a new or used EV, including bicycles and motorcycles. The funds can also be loaded onto a prepaid debit card to cover public transportation or car-sharing services. California has a similar system, offering rebates of up to $9,500 for EV purchases and up to $7,500 for switching to ride-sharing or public transportation. Notably, California budgeted $245 million for its program in the past fiscal year.

    In Colorado, the scrappage program is partially funded by a new fee on Amazon purchases and other household deliveries. Specifically, a fee of 28 cents per dropoff is allocated to the rebate fund. The clunkers that are traded in go to a non-profit organization where they are recycled for scrap, and the proceeds are used to fund scholarships for car mechanics training.

    The introduction of these programs is significant not only due to their environmental impact but also because they address affordability concerns associated with EVs. Currently, EVs tend to be purchased by affluent individuals who typically own multiple vehicles. This trend dilutes the decarbonization impact of EVs, as subsequent cars in a household are driven less frequently. Scrappage programs that target specific income thresholds aim to bridge this affordability gap and ensure that a wider range of individuals can access cleaner transportation options.

    Moreover, state scrappage incentives can be combined with federal incentives and local utility subsidies, making EVs even more affordable. Additionally, a few American-made EVs are eligible for a $7,500 Inflation Reduction Act rebate. By leveraging these incentives, buyers can significantly reduce the cost of purchasing an EV. For example, in Colorado, when combining the state rebate with local utility incentives, a qualified household making less than $62,500 annually could receive up to $19,000 towards an EV purchase.

    However, scrappage programs also face their own challenges. Consumer uptake of these programs has been relatively slow in some cases due to limited marketing efforts and increased used car prices, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, funding constraints can limit the effectiveness of these programs. France’s recent scrappage scheme, for instance, was depleted within two months, despite retiring 20,000 inefficient vehicles. In Germany, the scrappage program also ran out of funds well before schedule despite an increase in the allocated budget.

    While scrappage programs may not be a comprehensive climate policy at their current scale, they are seen as an equity policy that aims to bridge the affordability gap and address social and environmental concerns. In Colorado, the scrappage program is viewed as a valuable strategy to meet emission reduction targets of 26% by 2025 and 50% by 2030. Additionally, combining scrappage cash with other incentives allows for significant cost reductions, ensuring that expenses do not hinder the adoption of cleaner vehicles.

    Overall, scrappage programs present an opportunity to simultaneously reduce emissions and boost EV adoption. By providing financial incentives and eliminating inefficient vehicles from the road, these programs contribute to the acceleration of the clean transportation transition. As the United States works towards its climate goals, scrappage programs have emerged as an effective tool to replace gas-guzzlers with cleaner alternatives and reduce greenhouse gas emissions from the transportation sector.

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